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I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Something was dropped and then picked up. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. A lovely day to you. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Step 1. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. So what's the probability of your being born? You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Those who are brave (foolish?) If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. What are the odds of that? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Thats a ridiculously huge number. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Is that an African fly or a European one? He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? They agree to within a factor of two! You have lived your life. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Then the probability of Mr. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. saving. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. But let's think about this some more. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. I think that was exactly Msgr. Whoa. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. This button displays the currently selected search type. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. xx, Lets be social! I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Thats a pretty good trip. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Or stalk me (with love.). I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. That's 150,000 generations. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. But Im not mathy. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! You can start the series by clicking HERE. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion.